week 14 picks against the spread

ET. Whether you’re playing in your office’s (virtual) pool or in a higher-stakes contest, I’ve created pick ’em confidence ratings to help you make your picks each week — complete with a custom against the spread edge calculator. Below are predictions for each game against the spread. It’s scary to stop onto the tracks against Clemson. Hawaii has one of the nation’s worst run defenses. NFL teams have a quartet of games left to state their case for playoff spots — or secure better draft position. With Week 14 arriving, we’re officially into the final month of the 2020 NFL season. Even with movement in the schedule that left us with four Primetime games in Week 13 — the more football, the better! I ended up going 7-8 but I’m still over .500 for the season and hope to stay that way this weekend. North Texas has the clearly superior offense, while Louisiana Tech has the slightly better defense (and special teams). NFL week 15 is here. There were plenty of comments and complaints along-the-way, but the overall picture of the league and its standings have remained unchanged. In addition to my football fandom simply growing excited with the anticipation of a good game, competitive Primetime contests usually give us the opportunity to find value in the spread. Pickwatch tracks NFL expert picks and millions of fan picks for free to tell you who the most accurate handicappers in 2020 are at ESPN, CBS, FOX and many more are, straight up and against the spread. I always make it a point to highlight weeks in which we have good Primetime matchups. Week 13 really delivered from a drama standpoint, but it wasn’t my finest hour when it came to predictions. 100 SP+. Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports. The Cowboys have underachieved on offense this year -- and we still don’t know if RB Chuba Hubbard will play on Saturday -- but their defense has been much better than expected, No. A&M’s run defense is stout, but its pass defense has shown a propensity to give up deep shots (No. Capitol riots create concerns over inauguration security: ANALYSIS. ET. The supercomputer’s picks are the ones that have the highest win probability. NFL picks against the spread Week 14. Sitting at 4-0, Ohio State will play Northwestern in the Big 10 title game if OSU beats Sparty and then Michigan next week. Louisiana Tech ranks No. 47 in passing success rate and No. The front seven has been a MASH unit (though DT Tyler Davis and LBs, Virginia Tech is a team designed to attack the two relative chinks in Clemson’s defensive armor. Lamar Jackson returns as the Baltimore Ravens try to break a losing streak dating back to their defeat to the New England Patriots. It’s asking a lot for a repeat performance against a team that is still clinging to life in the Big 12 championship game hunt. Check DraftKings for the latest odds info. We’ve faded the Tigers multiple times this season to great effect. Share. There was another Tuesday game in Week 13 which pushed the final weekly outcomes back a … The rules are simple, the top five picks against the spread every week. Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark . Three first-place teams are underdogs on the upcoming schedule, and a few wild-card teams could have trouble winning against divisional opponents. But -- even with Hubbard playing far below his 2019 levels -- Okie State has the far superior offense, No. He proved that again in Tampa Bay’s last outing, engineering a fantastic back door cover, and he’ll look to pull off the feat in Week 14 against the Minnesota Vikings. I start here because the spread between the New England Patriots and Los Angeles Rams is.ihc-locker-wrap{}, Copyright © 2016 Sporfolio Powered by Yellow Blanket SoftwareTerms & Conditions | Privacy Policy | Disclaimer | Refund Policy. 124 in drives per game). College football, Week 14: Picks against the spread No. Find out where the best bets against the spread are for all 16 games in week 17, complete with betting tips. The jewel win, over UCF, came by one-point in a game Memphis finished with a 16% post-game win expectancy. In the entire FBS, UNT ranks No. (Spreads are from tallysight.com as of Tuesday morning) Last week: 9-7, Overall: 105–102-1 December 12, 2020 4:27 pm. Kansas City let Denver stay uncomfortably close for much of last week’s game and then simply pushed the “win now” … That's where the handicapping comes in. Hawaii has one of the nation’s worst run defenses. Louisiana Tech has been close to average nationally per-play against the pass. Final score prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers 27 Buffalo Bills 23. BC ranks No. New England Patriots (+5) at Los Angeles Rams Best bets against the spread are for all 16 games in week 14. Purdue Boilermakers (-2) vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers, Kansas Jayhawks (+27) at Texas Tech Red Raiders, Lifetime (2014-Present): 584-509-17 (53.4%) ATS. Tulane (No. ATL does not consider injuries, COVID absences, or situational … We make picks against the spread and whether to take the over or the under for each game. The worst have fallen to the bottom. Lines are from DraftKings as of Wednesday, Dec. 9, at 8 p.m. Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins, 1 p.m., CBS . College football betting picks afternoon week 14: Louisiana-Monroe at Arkansas State(-21.5)(2): Well, if there’s ever a time for the Red Wolves offense to show what they can do, this is it. 5 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS) for Week 14 By Kevin McGuire , 12/10/20, 11:30 AM EST Josh Allen and the AFC East-leading Bills are slight home favorites against the no-longer-undefeated Steelers NFL week 14 is here. NFL Week 14 picks: Chiefs beat Dolphins; Steelers lose again Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes drops back to pass against the Denver Broncos on Sunday. 124 air yards per pass). 5 Texas A&M (-6.5) at Auburn The line jumped 2.5 points from its open, and the Aggies are almost a touchdown favorite against the Tigers. | Rob Carr/Getty Images But Virginia struggles mightily against the pass: No. There are some interesting lines in Week 14 and I’m … Memphis was whipped by SMU and Cincy, beat an FCS team and UCF (the crowning achievement of the season), and barely limped by three FBS also-rans. PointsBet is our Official Sports Betting Partner, and we may receive compensation if you place a bet on PointsBet for the first time after clicking our links. Since Ohio State can’t know if the Michigan game is going to be played, even if this one is, they’ll need to plan for the contingency of giving the committee something to think about as a potential 5-0 team that was unable to qualify for its conference championship due to COVID protocols. Memphis is 6-2, but only 2-6 ATS (33.3%). Mark Craig's Week 14 NFL picks against the spread. The Hokies have one of the nation’s best rushing attacks, behind one of the nation’s best offensive lines. 25 adjusted net yards per attempt). My picks are in bold. 89 completion percentage against, No. Tom Brady is still money against the spread following a loss. Read full article. SHARE. He’s posted a 17/5 TD/INT rate and should go over 3,000 yards passing in the bowl game. In the table below, you'll find the Adjusted Thor Line (ATL). Objectively over-ranked, by any metric. This is a sneaky get-right matchup for Auburn QB, Auburn has shown that it can scheme great 1-on-1 looks downfield for Nix, but the Tigers have left yards and points on the board this year when either Nix was errant or one of his big-play receivers (. Texas A&M, harboring longshot playoff dreams, is ranked No. Four teams worth wagering your house… just don’t bet that much. *Confidence Picks – 2020 Season: 38-31-3 (Last Week: 5-0), (2019 Season: 57-43-3) (2018 Season: 63-48-4) (2017 Season: 53-48-4) (2016 Season: 53-67-3) (2015 Season: 69-45-2) (2014 Season: 61-46-2) (6-Year Total: 356-297-18), All Picks Against Spread – 2020 Season: 97-91-4 (Last Week: 8-7), (2019 Season: 142-118-7) (2018 Season: 137-118-12) (2017 Season: 137-119-11) (2016 Season: 123-136-8) (2015 Season: 143-117-7) (2014 Season: 149-114-4) (6-Year Total: 831-722-49). A&M’s run defense is stout, but its pass defense has shown a propensity to give up deep shots (No. SP+ gives 6-2 Oklahoma State 4.4 second-order wins (-1.6). Total: 51. Week 14 picks against the spread Saturday, Dec. 5 No. Spreads have been taken from various websites and are subject to change. Here are picks against the spread for every game in Week 14, as well as the latest betting odds. And those in between will be vying for playoff position for the next month. Here are picks against the spread for every game in Week 15 of the 2020 NFL season, as well as the latest odds. 79 in them, respectively. These ratings are based on my NFL Power Ratings, which help power our PRO Projections.They account for various factors such as travel, injuries … There are still plenty of opportunities to finish strong with our picks and predictions against the spread. (Jeff Roberson / Associated Press) NFL Week 13 Recap: It was another 2-1 week against the spread, as the Patriots (PK at Chargers) and Rams (-3 at Cardinals) covered easily, while the Titans (-5.5) was the dud pick. The Zips are 0-16 since the start of last season and have no better shot to win a 2020 game. 75 percent of the results are in, with “only” 64 of 256 games left to play. That’s the type of team that would have matched up well with AJ Dillon’s Eagles. We’re on to Week 14 in the NFL, starting with the New England Patriots and Los Angeles Rams facing off on Thursday. NFL Week 14 Picks Against The Spread. I preferred the +6, but I'll be on Hawaii anywhere here in a matchup featuring an underdog that matches up well with the favorite. NFL picks against the spread: Week 14 games. Week 14 ATS Picks All lines courtesy of PointsBet Sportsbook. Our NFL experts pick every Week 14 game against the spread and offer their best bets. It's a pick'em, they're 10-2 and riding a five-game winning streak, they're 6-0 straight up and 5-1 against the spread on the road, and Los Angeles is just 7-5 overall and 3-3 at home. Bowling Green Falcons. (Spreads are from tallysight.com as of Wednesday morning) With Joe Mixon not eligible to return until Week 14, it is difficult to see where the offensive inspiration will come from for the Bengals. SHARE . DISCLAIMER: This site and the products offered are for entertainment purposes only, and there is no gambling offered on this site. Week 14 began with the Chicago Bears defeating the Dallas Cowboys. Each week of the NFL season, a Pickswise expert will go up against the Pickswise supercomputer to see who is a better handicapper – man or machine! 9 in stuff rate and No. North Texas ranks No. College Football betting picks against the spread Week 14 2020. An asterisk denotes a confidence pick. As the football world saw on full display with the Jets, last week, “intent” plays a huge role. Walt's Calculated Line: Pick. Akron has the slightly better defense (No. The 5-5 Green Wave have been better than their record, with 5.6 second-order wins. — we’re finally and officially caught up with the original plan. Phil Jurkovich, the Notre Dame transfer, had been an enormous addition for the Eagles. 2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215) 2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780) 2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300) 2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845) 2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200) Go to Week 14 NFL Picks - Late Games Dallas Cowboys (8-4) at Chicago Bears (5-7) Line: Cowboys by 4.5. Fortunately, San Jose State rarely runs (if you take out sack yardage, their leading rusher is backup QB Nick Nash), and they’re quite poor at it when they try, ranking No. 0. An asterisk denotes a confidence pick. Here are the NFL week 14 picks against the spread. Bowling Green has lost all four of its games by 31 points or more, never posting a post-game win expectancy of above 1%. It's Week 14 of the 2020 NFL season. The 2018 FSWA College Sports Writer of the Year, Nystrom’s writing has also been honored by Rolling Stone magazine and The Best American Essays series. 124 air yards per pass). The Tigers won the last three in this series, which accounts for the close line. The Mean Green are particularly strong on the ground. The spread in parenthesis denotes the selected team. 41 success rate, No. But those three wins were over the Big 12’s three-worst teams: Baylor, Texas Tech and Kansas. 112 SP+) that SP+’s adjusted scoring margin said was more like a 7.0-point win. Point spread: Seahawks -13.5. Against the spread. 117 to No. Final score prediction: Cincinnati Bengals 14 Miami Dolphins 24 Share this article 16 shares share tweet text email link Jess Root. Week 14, with all picks made against the spread. After going 6-1 against the spread in Week 12, I went 5-3 ATS last week -- including 1-1 on Thanksgiving and then 4-2 Sunday -- to inch closer to .500. In defense of the league, we should be impressed that we’ve reached this point. Dan and Todd have your NFL Week 14 best picks against the spread (ATS). 81 and No. The Titans' defense has plenty of holes and when their offense is helping out by... Cowboys (-3.5, 43.5 o/u) at Bengals. SHARE. A misleading 6-2 at that. The spread in parenthesis denotes the selected team. Updated On: December 3, 2020, 5:17 pm ET Print. The finish line is in sight .... almost . Virginia should be able to run on Boston College. Because of COVID-related county restrictions in San Jose that limit group gatherings and put a temporary hold on contact sports, this game was moved to Honolulu on Wednesday. Off a two-week COVID-induced break, A&M’s offense struggled mightily in a 20-7 win over LSU last week. do (No. Not only does OSU have every incentive to win big, but we’re also getting line more than three points of line value with them in a qualitative vacuum, per ATL. Tulane gagged away a win against Navy (56% post-game win expectancy) earlier this year but have improved rapidly as true freshman QB. NFL Week 14 ATS Best Picks, game-by-game previews, stats, analysis, predictions. Last week’s record: 8-7. Just in terms of team quality, these squads are just about equal. 25 adjusted net yards per attempt). Vegas betting action updated Dec. 8, 4:30 p.m. 9. NFL picks against the spread for Week 14 Titans (-7.5, 53 o/u) at Jaguars. That’s the resume. December 13, 2020 9:00 am. The supercomputer’s picks are the ones that have the highest win probability. 9 in stuff rate and No. Virginia Tech Hokies (+22) vs. Clemson Tigers. The defense secured the win against a depleted LSU offense. Line: Chiefs -7 | Total: 49.5. 0. The rules are simple, the top five picks against the spread every week. 89 completion percentage against, No. 2020 NFL Week 14 picks against the spread. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. NFL Week 14 Odds, Picks: Schedule, TV Channels, Streams, Predictions Against The Spread Alex Kay Contributor Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. While that run game stresses you horizontally, QB, The Cowboys have underachieved on offense this year -- and we still don’t know if RB. Earlier that day, the line of this game was SJSU -6. Week 14 is the start of the race for the finish line of the regular season. Thor Nystrom is Rotoworld’s lead CFB writer. Picking NFL games straight up is hard enough, but picking against the spread is even tougher. The defense secured the win against a depleted LSU offense. 78, No. The Cavs, like any good Bronco Mendenhall team, defend the heck out of the run. Tulane Green Wave (-1.5) vs. Memphis Tigers. Tom Brady is still money against the spread following a loss. Here is a look at N.F.L. NFL Week 17 ATS Best Picks. I see a physical, low-scoring chess match that goes down to the wire, with Auburn potentially in a position late in the fourth quarter to knock A&M out of the CFB playoff discussion. Akron Zips (-2.5) vs. Okie State shouldn't have much of a problem grinding that attack to a halt. Not only that, but consider the two teams Clemson has had issues with this year: Boston College and Notre Dame. Akron is the better team, the home team, the more motivated team, and, again, the price is right. December 5, 2019 8:20 am. Overall record: 94-93-5. Last week’s record: 8-7. Anthony Riccobono. 58 to No. Sunday’s Best Games. My adjusted line is a full 9.7 points off the PointsBet line. Share this article 30 shares share tweet text email link Kyle Madson. 16 with 228.0 rush yards per game. But the Bulldogs are horrendous against the run. Overall record: 94-93-5. 51 SP+) is sort of the opposite, in terms of perception against reality. Auburn has shown that it can scheme great 1-on-1 looks downfield for Nix, but the Tigers have left yards and points on the board this year when either Nix was errant or one of his big-play receivers (Seth Williams, Anthony Schwartz) failed to make the play. 24 in marginal efficiency. 91 in plays per game, No. NFL Week 14 Betting Picks: Against the Spread . 29. It is nice to be the Chiefs (11-1). The finish line is in sight ... Week 14 is the start of the race for the finish line of the regular season. Pick ATS: New York (alternate line of +14) Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions. The Zips have more athleticism at the skill spots than you’d think and actually rank No. 14. Against the Spread Picks: Week 14. by Thor Nystrom December 3, 2020, 1:30 pm ET. Not this one. Week 14 of the NFL season is here and the playoff races are heating up, while other teams are looking ahead to the offseason and the draft. No guarantees are made for any specific outcome. 51 SP+) is sort of the opposite, in terms of perception against reality. N.F.L. In the entire FBS, UNT ranks No. 88 marginal efficiency, No. TWEET. TCU’s isn’t far behind, at SP+ No. Due to COVID disruptions, this is the first time that Louisiana Tech will have taken the field since Halloween. But this line is borderline outrageous. Straight up. Virginia Tech hangs around in a closer-than-expected game. My number of OSU -2.8 is still more than a point better than the PointsBet line. Share this article share tweet text email link Barry Werner. Last week, Memphis pulled out a 10-7 win over Navy (No. These teams are both awful -- Akron is ranked No. Getting over four points with the Eagles in this spot is too good to pass up. Week 14 NFL odds, picks, schedule, how to watch and stream: Expert picks against the spread, survivor, more The NFL is back for Week 14, and CBSSports… Week 14 ATS Picks Odds taken Dec. 10th at FanDuel. The 6-1 Aggies have 5.1 second-order wins, acknowledgement of their blowout loss to Alabama, escape act against Florida, and lethargic showings against LSU, Vanderbilt and Arkansas. In the four wins over UCF, Temple, USF and Navy, Memphis won by an average of only 4.25 PPG. He proved that again in Tampa Bay’s last outing, engineering a fantastic back door cover, and he’ll look to pull off the feat in Week 14 against the Minnesota Vikings. NFL picks against the spread, Week 14: Can the Saints beat the 49ers? EMAIL. It’s a real problem against teams that can stuff it down their throats. Facebook; Twitter; Reddit; Email; Harry How/Getty Images. (Spreads are from tallysight.com as of Wednesday morning) Last week: 8-7, Overall: 96-95-1 Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark . 101. And again, one was against an FCS team. Despite the futility, the Zips shown signs of life this season, playing competitively in a 14-point loss to Ohio (24% postgame win expectancy). The Mean Green are particularly strong on the ground. After underdogs got off to a strong start this season, … December 9, 2020 Jack Brentnall Betting, NFL. Here are the rest of the picks for Week 14 of the NFL season, with spreads from BetMGM: Patriots (+5.5) over Rams. It understands and contextualizes Oklahoma State’s ho-hum performances, and still favors Okie State by 5.1 points in this game. Week 14 Predictions: Our Picks Against the Spread The Dolphins face their biggest test yet in the Chiefs and the Steelers, after an 11-0 start, are trying to avoid a losing streak. Sunday’s Best Games. Follow @walterfootball for updates. And not for nothing, San Jose State's wild week -- which included shutdowns and an order not to practice in its home facilities, as well as a mid-week schedule venue change that moved this game all the way out to Hawaii -- isn't likely to help it on Saturday. Kansas City let Denver stay uncomfortably close for much of last week’s game and then simply pushed the “win now” button, got a … NFL betting free picks against the spread and Over/Under for Week 14. After … 103 in run success rate and No. Monday, December 14th, 8:15 PM ET Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns. NFL week 14 is here. I led Tuesday’s column off with this matchup, let’s get back into it. Meanwhile, San Jose State has a shoddy secondary that flashy Rainbow Warriors QB, That’s the type of team that would have matched up well with. Last season, Memphis did what they usually do and destroyed Tulane 47-17. It is nice to be the Chiefs (11-1). Here are our "expert" picks (against the spread) for each matchup this weekend. ATL does not consider injuries, COVID absences, or situational spots. December 13, 2020 1:49 am. We have a slightly different consideration to make with the additional of another Wild Card spot in 2020, but the rest of our approach remains intact. As always, more eyeballs are on the television when it’s the only game in town, and more eyeballs means more opportunities for people to make mistakes. By Mark Craig Star Tribune December 10, 2020 — 4:16pm Text size. North Texas Mean Green (+1.5) at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs. 92 SP+. What San Jose State is good at is passing. Five points got lopped off the spread with the flip of homefield. The Horned Frogs are a mess, offensively. NFL Week 14 Picks and Predictions Against the Spread By The Big Lead | Dec 4, 2019, 9:56 AM EST Lamar Jackson and the Ravens offensive line. Meanwhile, San Jose State has a shoddy secondary that flashy Rainbow Warriors QB Chevan Cordeiro should be able to exploit -- when he’s not gashing the Spartans on the ground. Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars. Dec 11, 2020. ... along with each of their picks against the spread and best bets for this weekend's slate. Bill Connelly’s SP+ ranks A&M No. NFL picks against the spread Week 14. Defending the pass is something Hawaii’s defense can do (No. Several playoff contenders could suffer key losses in Week 14 of the 2016 NFL season. ATL is a system based on power ratings, computer models and real-time betting data that I devised for determining line value. Week 14 NFL game picks, schedule guide, playoff scenarios and more 1y ESPN.com Bloody Sunday's impact and legacy on the Lions' Trey Flowers, his family and team NFL predictions against the spread for this Week 13 matchup: The Dolphins win but narrowly fail to cover the spread. ... here are our picks against the spread and for point totals in each game. 19 in run success rate, No. Consensus picks: 78-84-2 (5-8 last week) And here are 16 fresh takes for Week 14. Week 14 picks against the spread Saturday, Dec. 5 No. 107 SP+) despite getting out-gained, finishing with a 5% postgame win expectancy. Thursday, Dec. 4, 8:25 ET Take the home underdogs this week, unless you’re backing the Saints. 126 -- but Akron is the better squad, they're at home, and they're laying less than a field goal in what, for them, will be a Super Bowl-like game. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State has looked out of sorts this month, overcoming a 7% postgame win expectancy to beat Kansas State 20-18, getting dominated (0% postgame win expectancy) 41-13 by Oklahoma and sneaking by Texas Tech 50-44 last week with a 45% postgame win expectancy. 19 in run success rate, No. NFL predictions against the spread for this Week 14 Sunday Night Football: No spread at the time of writing. Those are two areas Clemson has struggled with defensively this year. My numbers say this spread should be inverted. Dave Tuley offers a Week 14 ATS pick on every NFL game, including public perception and wiseguys' views. Here are the NFL week 15 picks against the spread. Here is a look at NFL Week 14, with all picks made against the spread. December 10, 2020, 9:13 AM . NFL picks and predictions for the Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars. Fortunately, San Jose State rarely runs (if you take out sack yardage, their leading rusher is backup QB. 5 in both major polls as well as the college football standings. After … Against The Spread: Week 14 NFL picks | December 10, 2020, 9:13 AM. Best bets against the spread are for all 16 games in week 14. Oklahoma State Cowboys (-1.5) at TCU Horned Frogs. The best teams have risen to the top. College Football betting picks against the spread Week 14 2020 It's a weekly occurrence to lose games to COVID. 121 SP+), and they do a few things on offense that make them interesting. A&M is angling for a College Football Playoff berth, but they need to win out for that to be a possibility. December 12, 2020 4:27 pm. The Tigers have 4.9 second-order wins, -1.1 their win total. All times are Eastern. Each week of the NFL season, a Pickswise expert will go up against the Pickswise supercomputer to see who is a better handicapper – man or machine! Virginia Tech is a team designed to attack the two relative chinks in Clemson’s defensive armor. Tulane (No. Anthony Stalter. 2020 NFL Week 14 picks against the spread Kyle Madson 12/13/2020. TCU has only beaten one team in Oklahoma State’s territory this year, the 33-31 victory over Texas near the start of the regular season. Mark Craig's Week 14 NFL picks against the spread. NFL Week 14 ATS Best Picks, game-by-game previews, stats, analysis, predictions. The Hokies have one of the nation’s best rushing attacks, behind one of the nation’s best offensive lines. Just one game. The front seven has been a MASH unit (though DT Tyler Davis and LBs James Skalski and Mike Jones Jr. did return in last week’s win over Pitt), not only hurting the starting lineup but straining the team’s depth, and Brent Venables’ exotic coverages have sometimes asked too much of a secondary that replaced three of four starters.

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